Lovells and the Hogan & Hartson have agreed to a trans-Atlantic “merger of equals” to form one of the ten largest law firms in the world.
This could be a very smart move. Walker Clark’s market research team rates both as solid “second tier” firms in their respective home countries. Can they find the synergy that they will need to climb those last few hundred meters into the first tier of international law firms?
Most commentators rank London-based Lovells ranks just outside the Magic Circle in terms of overall reputation. With respect, we think that Lovells has been under-rated. In some practice areas, they have capabilities and a reputation that rival those of some of the Magic Circle members. We regard their litigation and dispute resolution practice as one of the top 15 or 20 in the world. If there are any “holes” in their international portfolio, it would probably be in the Americas, particularly in Latin America.
This is where Hogan & Hartson appears to be a good strategic fit. This Washington-based firm is about 2/3 the size of Lovells. They have a similar geographic spread, but, in our opinion, have not been able to develop the “brand name” that Lovells has. Hogan & Hartson adds an excellent international business practice, particularly in trade, government regulation, and tax. They could also provide a missing geographic component — Latin America. Hogan & Hartson already has a 10-lawyer office in Caracas, plus a good regional reputation in arbitration, corporate, and energy.
The new firm, Hogan Lovells, will start operations in May 2010, with approximately 2,500 lawyers. Based on 2009 estimates, they should end 2010 as the world’s ninth or tenth largest law firm in terms of fee revenue — somewhere in the range of US$ 1.7 billion to US$ 1.9 billion, we would expect. This will depend to some extent on the ability of the Obama administration to get a genuine economic recovery underway in the United States by the end of 2010, which we sadly do not expect to happen. Nonetheless, the longer-range prospects look very good for Hogan Lovells.
In the interests of full disclosure, I must point out that Walker Clark, LLC, does not have any financial or professional interest in or with either Lovells or Hogan & Hartson.
But we will be very interested to how they pursue what appears to us to be a smart trans-Atlantic strategy.
Norm Clark